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منتدى العملات العام لمتابعة كل ما يتعلق بتجارة العملات الاجنبية والذهب والنفط من اخبار وطرق المتاجرة وتحليلات ، قسم التوصيات – توصيات العملات لمتابعة توصيات ونقاط الدخول والخروج على مختلف العملات ، منتدى الدروس التعليمية يحتوي على دروس تعليمية لسوق العملات والتحليل الفني والاساسي وادارة رأس المال ، منتدى المؤشرات والاكسبيرتات يحتوي على اهم المؤشرات مع شرح لها بالاضافة الى بعض الدروس

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الذهب الدولار الفدرالي الانتخابات

منتدى تداول العملات العام

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قديم 25 - 04 - 2012, 04:10 PM   #91
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الصورة الرمزية 0BID
 

افتراضي رد: الذهب الدولار الفدرالي الانتخابات

رد: الذهب الدولار الفدرالي الانتخابات
اقتباس:
المشاركة الأصلية كتبت بواسطة diaamasree1 مشاهدة المشاركة
اخي obaid او العزيز محمد
الثانيه عشرة بنيويورك هل هنا تكون 4
معليش بس والله اختلطت علينا السبل
الله يهدينا جميعا
والله مش عارف توقيتي نفس توقيت نيويورك .. والان الساعة عندي 9:10 صباحا احسب من عندك كم



التوقيع:
توكلت في رزقي على الله خالقي**وأيقنت أن الله لا شك رازقي
وما يكن من رزقي فليس يفوتني**ولو كان في قاع البحار العوامق
سيأتي به الله العظيم بفضله**ولو لم يكن مني اللسان بناطق
ففي أي شيء تذهب النفس حسرةً**وقد قسم الرحمن رزق الخلائقِ
0BID غير متواجد حالياً   رد مع اقتباس

قديم 25 - 04 - 2012, 04:11 PM   #92
عضو فـعّـال
 

افتراضي رد: الذهب الدولار الفدرالي الانتخابات

اقتباس:
المشاركة الأصلية كتبت بواسطة diaamasree1 مشاهدة المشاركة
اخي obaid او العزيز محمد
الثانيه عشرة بنيويورك هل هنا تكون 4
معليش بس والله اختلطت علينا السبل
الله يهدينا جميعا
يبدو لي والله اعلم ،ان فارق التوفي 7 ساعات ، تكون الساعه السابعه مساءً

تحياتي



@ابومحمد@ غير متواجد حالياً   رد مع اقتباس
قديم 25 - 04 - 2012, 04:26 PM   #93
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افتراضي رد: الذهب الدولار الفدرالي الانتخابات

7 المساء
وصباحك ورد بتوقيتك اخي عبيد محمد



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diaamasree1 غير متواجد حالياً   رد مع اقتباس
قديم 25 - 04 - 2012, 06:44 PM   #94
محلل اقتصادي
 

افتراضي رد: الذهب الدولار الفدرالي الانتخابات

اقتباس:
المشاركة الأصلية كتبت بواسطة نسيم الشرق مشاهدة المشاركة
تسلم حسون وللعلم غدا السوق خطير جدا ,
اكتشفت الان وعلى غير العادة البيان والفدرالي سيجزء على ثلاث
فترات زمنية وهنا يكمن اللغز
السابعة والنصف بتوقيت مكة المكرمة قرار الفائدة واللجنة الفدرالية المفتوحة
التاسعة بتوقيت مكة , التوقعات الجديدة للجنة الفدرالية
التاسعة والربع يطل برنانكي بالمؤتمر الصحفي


اذن هناك صدمة ستحرك السوق , بعدها تهدئة السوق ,
ويليها توجية السوق بواسطة برنانكي ,
الوضع سيكون هبوط وصعود واستقرار , او صعود وهبوط واستقرار

يا شباب هذه الاوقات كتبناها من الامس



نسيم الشرق غير متواجد حالياً   رد مع اقتباس
قديم 25 - 04 - 2012, 06:55 PM   #95
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افتراضي رد: الذهب الدولار الفدرالي الانتخابات

توقعات جولدمان ساكس من فوركس فاكتوري

Our expectations are as follows:

1. No policy changes and no hints of QE3. We do not expect changes to the main policy parameters. In particular, the committee is very likely to retain its current guidance that economic conditions “are likely to warrant exceptionally low levels for the federal funds rate at least through late 2014,” but it is unlikely to include any comments on possible easing options. We do expect, however, that the FOMC will discuss policy options under alternative scenarios for the economy, including options for additional easing. Chairman Bernanke may be asked this question at the press conference. We expect him to steer a middle ground, leaving open the possibility of additional monetary easing.

2. A slight strengthening of the "significant downside risk" phrase. Given the deterioration in the European sovereign debt crisis over the last month, we expect that the statement will soften or remove the phrase that “strains in global financial markets have eased.” One option would be to go back to the January formulation and simply state that "strains in global financial markets continue to pose significant downside risks to the economic outlook."

3. Nods in the direction of softer data and lower energy prices. Although changes to the description of economic activity will likely be small, we expect the committee to acknowledge the weakening of the dataflow in recent weeks. Instead of saying that "labor market conditions have improved further; the unemployment rate has declined notably in recent months but remains elevated," the committee might say that "labor market conditions have improved further but the unemployment rate remains elevated." To reflect the decline in energy prices in recent weeks, the committee might say that higher energy prices “have boosted” inflation--instead of saying that energy prices "have increased lately"--but then reaffirm that this boost should be temporary.

4. A slight upgrade of the January forecasts. Despite the recent softening of the data, Fed officials are likely to upgrade their economic forecasts (which were made in January). Exhibit 1 below shows our expectation for these changes. First, we expect an unemployment rate midpoint of 8.05% for end- 2012 (down from 8.35% in January), 7.65% for 2013 and 7.05% for 2014 (both down by one tenth). Second, we anticipate an increase in the mid-point for core inflation from 1.65% to 1.75% for end-2012, and a 5 basis point (bp) upgrade to the mid-point in 2013 and 2014.

5. Small hawkish changes to participants' funds rate projections. Some members may lift their funds rate projections--which are shown in Figure 2 of the SEP--in response to their upgrade of inflation and unemployment. Our estimated Taylor rule, however, would suggest that these changes should be relatively small. The bottom of Exhibit 1 shows that we only expect the upper bound of the central tendency to increase by 25bp in 2013 (when it is sufficient for one participant to lift his or her projection) but not in 2014 (when at least three participants would need to raise their projections by 25bp or more). This change might increase the number of participants that are projecting the first rate hike for 2013 from 3 to 4. Also, given the slightly lower profile for the unemployment rate, we think that it is possible that a participant who currently expects the first hike in 2016 might move into the 2015 camp.

Beyond this week, we continue to forecast additional monetary easing at the June FOMC meeting. This prediction does not rest on an expectation of a "dovish signal" this week, but on our expectation that the economic data will continue to disappoint over the next couple of months given higher gasoline prices in the first quarter, the fading short-term inventory cycle boost, and a "payback" for the warm winter. Our confidence in the forecast of additional easing is not particularly high; it is certainly possible that the FOMC will decide yet again to let an asset purchase program lapse without having put a successor program in place. However, this week's FOMC meeting is unlikely to provide a clear signal one way or the other



ahmedattia1987 غير متواجد حالياً   رد مع اقتباس
قديم 25 - 04 - 2012, 07:00 PM   #96
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افتراضي رد: الذهب الدولار الفدرالي الانتخابات

اقتباس:
المشاركة الأصلية كتبت بواسطة نسيم الشرق مشاهدة المشاركة
يا شباب هذه الاوقات كتبناها من الامس

ولك مني كل الشكر
بس كنت خايف من تغيير التوقيت لا اكثر او اقل وانت حاجب لعيوننا والعين ماتعلى على الحاجب يااخي الحبيب وسيم



diaamasree1 غير متواجد حالياً   رد مع اقتباس
قديم 25 - 04 - 2012, 07:35 PM   #97
عضو نشيط جدا
 

افتراضي رد: الذهب الدولار الفدرالي الانتخابات

Information received since the Federal Open Market Committee met in March suggests that the economy has been expanding moderately. Labor market conditions have improved in recent months; the unemployment rate has declined but remains elevated. Household spending and business fixed investment have continued to advance. Despite some signs of improvement, the housing sector remains depressed. Inflation has picked up somewhat, mainly reflecting higher prices of crude oil and gasoline. However, longer-term inflation expectations have remained stable.

Consistent with its statutory mandate, the Committee seeks to foster maximum employment and price stability. The Committee expects economic growth to remain moderate over coming quarters and then to pick up gradually. Consequently, the Committee anticipates that the unemployment rate will decline gradually toward levels that it judges to be consistent with its dual mandate. Strains in global financial markets continue to pose significant downside risks to the economic outlook. The increase in oil and gasoline prices earlier this year is expected to affect inflation only temporarily, and the Committee anticipates that subsequently inflation will run at or below the rate that it judges most consistent with its dual mandate.

To support a stronger economic recovery and to help ensure that inflation, over time, is at the rate most consistent with its dual mandate, the Committee expects to maintain a highly accommodative stance for monetary policy. In particular, the Committee decided today to keep the target range for the federal funds rate at 0 to 1/4 percent and currently anticipates that economic conditions--including low rates of resource utilization and a subdued outlook for inflation over the medium run--are likely to warrant exceptionally low levels for the federal funds rate at least through late 2014.

The Committee also decided to continue its program to extend the average maturity of its holdings of securities as announced in September. The Committee is maintaining its existing policies of reinvesting principal payments from its holdings of agency debt and agency mortgage-backed securities in agency mortgage-backed securities and of rolling over maturing Treasury securities at auction. The Committee will regularly review the size and composition of its securities holdings and is prepared to adjust those holdings as appropriate to promote a stronger economic recovery in a context of price stability.

Voting for the FOMC monetary policy action were: Ben S. Bernanke, Chairman; William C. Dudley, Vice Chairman; Elizabeth A. Duke; Dennis P. Lockhart; Sandra Pianalto; Sarah Bloom Raskin; Daniel K. Tarullo; John C. Williams; and Janet L. Yellen. Voting against the action was Jeffrey M. Lacker, who does not anticipate that economic conditions are likely to warrant exceptionally low levels of the federal funds rate through late 2014.



ahmedattia1987 غير متواجد حالياً   رد مع اقتباس
قديم 25 - 04 - 2012, 07:36 PM   #98
عضو نشيط جدا
 

افتراضي رد: الذهب الدولار الفدرالي الانتخابات

اقتباس:
المشاركة الأصلية كتبت بواسطة ahmedattia1987 مشاهدة المشاركة
Information received since the Federal Open Market Committee met in March suggests that the economy has been expanding moderately. Labor market conditions have improved in recent months; the unemployment rate has declined but remains elevated. Household spending and business fixed investment have continued to advance. Despite some signs of improvement, the housing sector remains depressed. Inflation has picked up somewhat, mainly reflecting higher prices of crude oil and gasoline. However, longer-term inflation expectations have remained stable.

Consistent with its statutory mandate, the Committee seeks to foster maximum employment and price stability. The Committee expects economic growth to remain moderate over coming quarters and then to pick up gradually. Consequently, the Committee anticipates that the unemployment rate will decline gradually toward levels that it judges to be consistent with its dual mandate. Strains in global financial markets continue to pose significant downside risks to the economic outlook. The increase in oil and gasoline prices earlier this year is expected to affect inflation only temporarily, and the Committee anticipates that subsequently inflation will run at or below the rate that it judges most consistent with its dual mandate.

To support a stronger economic recovery and to help ensure that inflation, over time, is at the rate most consistent with its dual mandate, the Committee expects to maintain a highly accommodative stance for monetary policy. In particular, the Committee decided today to keep the target range for the federal funds rate at 0 to 1/4 percent and currently anticipates that economic conditions--including low rates of resource utilization and a subdued outlook for inflation over the medium run--are likely to warrant exceptionally low levels for the federal funds rate at least through late 2014.

The Committee also decided to continue its program to extend the average maturity of its holdings of securities as announced in September. The Committee is maintaining its existing policies of reinvesting principal payments from its holdings of agency debt and agency mortgage-backed securities in agency mortgage-backed securities and of rolling over maturing Treasury securities at auction. The Committee will regularly review the size and composition of its securities holdings and is prepared to adjust those holdings as appropriate to promote a stronger economic recovery in a context of price stability.

Voting for the FOMC monetary policy action were: Ben S. Bernanke, Chairman; William C. Dudley, Vice Chairman; Elizabeth A. Duke; Dennis P. Lockhart; Sandra Pianalto; Sarah Bloom Raskin; Daniel K. Tarullo; John C. Williams; and Janet L. Yellen. Voting against the action was Jeffrey M. Lacker, who does not anticipate that economic conditions are likely to warrant exceptionally low levels of the federal funds rate through late 2014.
متهيألي اخر سيناريو اتحقق و الموضوع طلع كدبه ولا انا فاهم غلط؟



ahmedattia1987 غير متواجد حالياً   رد مع اقتباس
قديم 25 - 04 - 2012, 07:41 PM   #99
عضو نشيط جدا
 

افتراضي رد: الذهب الدولار الفدرالي الانتخابات

توقعاتك لكلام برنانكي استاذنا العزيز؟



ahmedattia1987 غير متواجد حالياً   رد مع اقتباس
قديم 25 - 04 - 2012, 07:41 PM   #100
محلل اقتصادي
 

افتراضي رد: الذهب الدولار الفدرالي الانتخابات

تثبيت الفائدة , التضخم واضح , يعني ما في حزم , البطالة تتحسن ,
هذا طبعا ليس مهم
الاهم الموعد بعد ساعة ونصف , وساعة وخمسة واربعون دقيقة
بيان اللجنة الفدرالية للمستقبل وحديث برنانكي تباعل



نسيم الشرق غير متواجد حالياً   رد مع اقتباس
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الذهب الدولار الفدرالي الانتخابات

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المواضيع المتشابهه
الموضوع المنتدى
افتتاح الأسواق الأوروبية: الدولار يتطلّع الى تعليقات مسؤولي بنك الاحتياطي الفدرالي والبيان الاخبار الاقتصادية - اخبار سوق العملات
الدولار يرتفع مدعوماً بتصريحات البنك الفدرالي منتدى تداول العملات العام
انخفاض الدولار استعدادا لنشر نتائج الانتخابات 3/11/10 منتدى تداول العملات العام
الدولار الأميركي: يتطلّع الدولار الأميركي الى خطابات أعضاء بنك الاحتياطي الفدرالي وتقرير ا الاخبار الاقتصادية - اخبار سوق العملات
الدولار الأميركي: يتطلّع الدولار الأميركي الى اجتماع مجلس الاحتياطي الفدرالي لتأكيد الإتّج الاخبار الاقتصادية - اخبار سوق العملات


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