تاريخ التسجيل: Oct 2017
الدولة: كل بلاد العرب اوطاني
العمر: 47
المشاركات: 946
خبرة السوق: اكثر من 10 سنوات
معدل تقييم المستوى:
10

رد: عقد بحجم كبير ( Big Contract )
Why the USD/JPY fell in the Tokyo morning
Some of the explanations doing the rounds, not all of these are independent (at all) - i.e. intertwined
Potentially faster pace of U.S. rate hikes leading to risk aversion and thus flows to yen
Leveraged traders buying of USD/JPY after the fix, then bailed as despite their buying it didn't go up
Selling above 107.50 is option related (expiries later today) and will thus persist today
Higher U.S. yields put upward pressure on USD ... but offset by fall on US equity markets
Fed's minutes are pre equity market turmoil (meeting late Jan, stocks fell in in early February ... thus the Federal Reserve could have altered some of its views)
Rise in US. yields may not fully reflect concerns about the fiscal deficit, expanding debt supply ... weighs on stocks
USD/JPY selling will continue due to repatriation by Japanese companies ahead of fiscal year-end in March
Risk aversion wariness of more selling in stocks ... and thus further yen buying. Danger of this increases as US 10 yr approaches 3% yield
3 Fed rate hikes this year already 'priced in', uncertainty on a 4th and thus weight on USD
USD/JPY near important technical support level, (circa 107.20) - raises near-term bearish attacks potential
التوقيع

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