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Ichimoku Kinko Hyo

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الصورة الرمزية IchiMohu
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تاريخ التسجيل: Dec 2019
المشاركات: 103
معدل تقييم المستوى: 5
IchiMohu is on a distinguished road
افتراضي رد: Ichimoku Kinko Hyo
71#
11 - 01 - 2020, 03:08 PM
In order to swing trade successfully, there's a few conditions must be met
in order to increase your winning probability, for Forex that would be

Look for specific currency
Make sure that the driving force / domination is for that currency
Analyse that currency in great detail
Look for the confirmational signs in other pairs with same currency Go back one step and give each pair it's path separately
Combine these position to make it a single trade, easy for management

Here's the AUD swings breakdown, covering all previous conditions
Trades taken on 08 - 01 - 2020


1st - Look for specific currency
No work need to be done in this stage except a good observation to what's going on
during last week I post 3 AUDUSD ideas, two went with the plan, the 3rd hit the SL
with that SL, I might had a USD or AUD factor that lead that trade to my SL

2nd - Make sure that the driving force / domination is for that currency
shortly afterward I posted GBPAUD/AUDCAD/EURAUD
some of it hit the TP, but the recent one went for the SL
this confirms that the AUD is the active factor in those trades, and it's the driving force for that time

despite it was SL what warned me, yet it lead to a great catch

3rd - Analyse that currency in great detail
At this stage I analysed and post AUDUSD starting from 1W down to 1H
Here
اقتباس:
المشاركة الأصلية كتبت بواسطة IchiMohu مشاهدة المشاركة
1W TF, price trading inside the cloud and it reached SSB & 1W Resis @ 0.7030 at the upper trading range with HH & HL! despite the cloud showing a correction possibility there's a room for CS to goes up till 0.7057.
current area filled with 1W Resis, 0.710/0.7057/0.703/0.6980
CS rejected outside the cloud last week, we might have CS lagging free and outside this week followed by breaking in, this might give a room to go down further more.
- So 1W shows possibility of bearish corrective wave, targeting the 1W uptrend 0.694/0.690

1D TF, strong bullish setup, price rejected form double Resis and pivotal points @ 0.7030/0.7017 & upper limit of the bullish 1D channel. price closed below Supp @ 0.6956 and the way is open for continuation to retest the 1D uptrend/Supp @0.685 as long as KS peak above the price.
- So 1D might have a continuation of the bullish wave targeting 0.710/0.715 areas once it consolidated and rejected from the 1D KS and closes above 0.705, other possibility would be continuation of the corrective wave down till 0.690/0.685.

4H, bullish setup with bearish correction, price rejected from pivotal point @ 0.6995 and reached down to the SSB, from there it got rejected again for +30 pips, cloud still bullish price @ the bell of the cloud with CS lagging behind and above bullish neck, we might see continuation of the corrective bearish wave to get to the lower trading range on 4H once th CS (not price) reaches the 4H uptrend with false breakout of the price downward. 0.6933 Supp/ pivotal point area, followed by next pivotal point @ 0.6870
- So 4H might have a direct continuation to 0.690/0.684, other possibility would be a retest to the SSA of bullish cloud and pivotal point @ 0.6995 followed by drop to 0.684 (DTPT)
no near Supp/Resis, next pivotal point @ 0.710, cloud is thick and its SSA at pivotal point @ 0.6995, closed below that level might point to SSB retest for the other pivotal point @ 0.6930/0.687, otherwise continuation till 0.710 on board.
AUDUSD Long term is bullish, Short term is bearish

4th
- Look for the confirmational signs in other pairs with same currency
I looked at AUDCAD/GBPAUD/EURAUD, since they have similar results lately to see if the share the same trading ideas
AUDCAD Here
اقتباس:
المشاركة الأصلية كتبت بواسطة IchiMohu مشاهدة المشاركة
AUDCAD

W1, price trading inside the cloud with CS lagging behind & out after it got rejected from Resis @ 0.913, price @ the SSA level with CS testing KS, cloud shows weakness signs for the bearish momentum along with HH & HL, if this area hold the price from going down once we close above the 1st 1W down trend we might head to retest to the downtrend @ 0.913/0.915 up to the SSB and pivotal point @ 0.922.

1D, full bullish setup with HH & HL, price retesting the mid zone of trading range @ the mid bullish cloud, Pivotal point @ 0.9011 held the price last week from going down. Cloud is bullish despite the last correction, 1D shows both possibilities of 1) initiation and continuation of bullish channel at these level, or 2) Closing below 0.8985 and confirming this is just a minor corrective wave for the last bearish wave .. 1D cloud is critical!

4H, full bearish setup, price broke the 4H uptrend after it got rejected from pivotal point @ 0.9137, yet it seems it trading @ a relatively bullish range with HH & HL, 0.898/0.897 is important level to keep this bullish wave alive.

1H, full bearish setup after the price broke the 1H uptrend @ 0.917, bearish cloud shows balance @ 0.907, price approaching the cloud once it closes indie it the upward monument might start
So AUDCAD Long term is bullish, Short term is bearish

goes with AUDUSD idea

GBPAUD Here
اقتباس:
المشاركة الأصلية كتبت بواسطة IchiMohu مشاهدة المشاركة
GBPAUD

1W TF, bullish setup with signs of correction after the price rejected for Resis @ 1.9216, KS about to cross TS while the price approaching the crossing point, next Supp @ 1.862/1.8543 aloing with current SSB. Price might retest those Supp or conitnue the bullish wave, especially if the price retest 1.90/1.906 area and formed H&S pattern.

1D TF, price trading inside the cloud between Supp and pivotal points @ 1.894/1.879, cloud still bullish, no true LH yet, yet the price testing SSA while CS approaching previous levels, 1D shows possibility of retesting pivotal point @ 1.879 of room to go down further up to 1.864/1.860/1.845, yet in couple of week we are approaching mid cloud zone with room to go up to PP @ 1.914/1.914!

4H TF, bearish setup with price trading inside the cloud with bullish momentum & HH & HL with possible retesting to the SSB & PP level @ 1.908, previous PP point @ 1.887/1.880.

1H TF, price broke the cloud with bullish momentum, cloud broke trading range with signs of continuation. PP @ 1.8913/ 1.898/1.902
So GBPAUD Long term is bearish , Short term is bullish

goes with AUDUSD idea

EURAUD Here
اقتباس:
المشاركة الأصلية كتبت بواسطة IchiMohu مشاهدة المشاركة
EURAUD

1W TF, Price is trading below the cloud with consolidation after it broke the weekly uptrend, with bearish cloud, head and shoulder pattern targeting 1.575 level, price @ Resis level 1.5995, next Supp @ 1.575

On 1D TF, bearish setup with multiple rejection @ 1.60/1.599 triple Resis area, clear head and shoulders structure, broke the daily uptrend reached double top pattern target @ 1.599, major next pivotal point @ 1.573 (H&SP tp/ 1W Resis!). price might have correction upward targeting 1D KS @ 1.614

4H TF, strong bearish setup, consolidation at the SSA level with CS approaching the bearish cloud, CS started to trade inside the cloud, with retesting to upper limit of the previous 4H down channel, a retest to pivotal point @ 1.610/1.6125/1.614 is a very likely, from we have triple Resis & SSB along with 1D KS

1H TF, bullish setup with, cloud shows signs of continuation pointing to possibility for a minor bullish > 1.61/1.614 wave followed by a continuation of the down trend, 1.614 is a triple Resis & pivotal point level as well
So EURAUD Long term is bearish , Short term is bullish
goes with AUDUSD idea



5th - Go back one step and give each pair it's path speratly
in this step I would back to each pair and draw its own path
For example GBPAUD and EURAUD I started to sell at the current price

while AUDUSD I put a order 60 pips away? despite it EURAUD and

GBPAUD both have wide trading range and greater volatility

the reason why is GBP and EUR were both negative at that time
GBPUSD here, EURUSD here, that means AUDUSD still has a room to go
down further, and it went down and missed the entry by 10pips


6th - Combine these position to make it a single trade, easy for management

I already gave a short explanation for the step yesterday, another one once USD swing activated
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الصورة الرمزية IchiMohu
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الصورة الرمزية IchiMohu
 
تاريخ التسجيل: Dec 2019
المشاركات: 103
معدل تقييم المستوى: 5
IchiMohu is on a distinguished road
افتراضي رد: Ichimoku Kinko Hyo
72#
13 - 01 - 2020, 12:19 AM
Short-term view for the USD pairs, more of a completion to the swings
canceled once the price reached TP


EURUSD
EUSUSD - Short order @ 1.1136, TP 1.106/1.105, SL above 1.1170


AUDUSD
AUDUSD - Long order @ 0.6888, TP 0.6913/0.6926, SL below 0.6870
AUDUSD - Short order @ 0.6925, TP 0.6900/0.687/0.684/0.6800, SL above 0.6980



NZDUSD
NZDUSD - Short @ 0.6655, TP 0.662/0.6580/0.6540, SL above 0.6690



USDJPY
USDJPY- Long order @ 109.12, TP 109.4/109.75/110.04, SL below 108.75
IchiMohu غير متواجد حالياً  
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الصورة الرمزية IchiMohu
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الصورة الرمزية IchiMohu
 
تاريخ التسجيل: Dec 2019
المشاركات: 103
معدل تقييم المستوى: 5
IchiMohu is on a distinguished road
افتراضي رد: Ichimoku Kinko Hyo
73#
13 - 01 - 2020, 12:12 PM
اقتباس:
المشاركة الأصلية كتبت بواسطة IchiMohu مشاهدة المشاركة
GBPUSD

1W TF, Price started to trade above the cloud with bullish setup, after the price got rejected from the pivotal point @ 1.3515, road filled with Resis, yet the nearest Supp @ 1.2819, cloud failed to overcome the previous trading range, so correction might be the case, Resis @ 1.3216 still holding from last week, 1.288/1.273 are the Supp & SSB for the current wave.

1D TF, bullish setup with correction signs, price broke an uptrend @1.307, now it retested the uptrend & pivotal point @ 1.320, price trading @ 1D PP 1.320 with KS with recent LH & LL, if this area holds price approaching the cloud with possible retest to the 2nd uptrend, next pivotal point @ 1.285, proceeded by double Supp @ 1.288.

4H TF, bearish setup with early consolidation @ SSA level, CS trading & @ the future cloud SSB, price retesting 4H KS and PP @ 1.3174 with next PP @ 1.321, 4H point for continuation of the downside wave.

1H TF, weak bullish setup with bearish cloud, price @ PP 1.315, CS lagging behind in the cloud's body with room to goes up to 1.320, 1H point for a continuation of the bearish wave.

Possible trades
Short order @ 1.3191, TP 1.309/1.298/1.288, SL above 1.3255




GBPUSD update price hit 2nd TP with +210 pips
I will hold for the 3rd TP, and from there I might build up longs.

This is the reason why GBPUSD wasn't a part of the USD swings
as it showed more votality than others, no it might play along with others and I might add it later






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الصورة الرمزية IchiMohu
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الصورة الرمزية IchiMohu
 
تاريخ التسجيل: Dec 2019
المشاركات: 103
معدل تقييم المستوى: 5
IchiMohu is on a distinguished road
افتراضي رد: Ichimoku Kinko Hyo
74#
13 - 01 - 2020, 11:50 PM
USDCAD - short-term view for the completion of the swing trade
Long @ current price 1.3055, TP 1.307/1.309/1.3130, SL below 1.3020



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الصورة الرمزية IchiMohu
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الصورة الرمزية IchiMohu
 
تاريخ التسجيل: Dec 2019
المشاركات: 103
معدل تقييم المستوى: 5
IchiMohu is on a distinguished road
افتراضي رد: Ichimoku Kinko Hyo
75#
14 - 01 - 2020, 11:47 AM
اقتباس:
المشاركة الأصلية كتبت بواسطة IchiMohu مشاهدة المشاركة
USDCAD - short-term view for the completion of the swing trade
Long @ current price 1.3055, TP 1.307/1.309/1.3130, SL below 1.3020




USDCAD update, 1st TP +20 pips, moving SL to entry and hold for my TP


PS: Next few hours we gonna move out of the SSB range to increase the median price, this will anglates the cloud which is supportive and directive for the bullish wave


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الصورة الرمزية IchiMohu
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الصورة الرمزية IchiMohu
 
تاريخ التسجيل: Dec 2019
المشاركات: 103
معدل تقييم المستوى: 5
IchiMohu is on a distinguished road
افتراضي رد: Ichimoku Kinko Hyo
76#
14 - 01 - 2020, 12:18 PM
AUDUSD & NZDUSD
bearish wave started before the price hits they entry
it would be risky to short now, but it still worth the risk

these trades are active instead of the short-term veiw trades

AUDUSD
Short @ current price 0.6898, TP 0.6840/0.6812/0.6807, SL above 0.6935





NZDUSD

Short @ current price 0.6624, TP 0.6583/0.6570/0.6540, SL above 0.666

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الصورة الرمزية IchiMohu
عضو جديد
الصورة الرمزية IchiMohu
 
تاريخ التسجيل: Dec 2019
المشاركات: 103
معدل تقييم المستوى: 5
IchiMohu is on a distinguished road
افتراضي رد: Ichimoku Kinko Hyo
77#
14 - 01 - 2020, 07:21 PM
اقتباس:
المشاركة الأصلية كتبت بواسطة IchiMohu مشاهدة المشاركة
Short-term view for the USD pairs, more of a completion to the swings
canceled once the price reached TP

EURUSD
EUSUSD - Short order @ 1.1136, TP 1.106/1.105, SL above 1.1170


AUDUSD
AUDUSD - Long order @ 0.6888, TP 0.6913/0.6926, SL below 0.6870
AUDUSD - Short order @ 0.6925, TP 0.6900/0.687/0.684/0.6800, SL above 0.6980


NZDUSD
NZDUSD - Short @ 0.6655, TP 0.662/0.6580/0.6540, SL above 0.6690


USDJPY
USDJPY- Long order @ 109.12, TP 109.4/109.75/110.04, SL below 108.75


Short-term view for the USD pairs update

EURUSD activated @ 1.1136, +16 pips, setup still holding
once the price breaks 1.1112, I will move SL to entry and hold for my TP


AUDUSD 1st traded activated @ 0.6888, +15 pips, I will close it for the
current price and keep the short from the updated trades
2nd entry cancled, after it missed entry by few pips



NZDUSD didn't activated, missed the price by 2 pips and started to drop
now I'm just holding the updated trade on NZDUSD with +16 pips
price has a chance to for double bottom, so I'm moving my SL to entry
once we breaks the previous low


USDJPY didn't activated price went directly to the TPs
Swing short positions started to activated

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تاريخ التسجيل: Dec 2019
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معدل تقييم المستوى: 5
IchiMohu is on a distinguished road
افتراضي رد: Ichimoku Kinko Hyo
78#
16 - 01 - 2020, 09:24 PM
اقتباس:
المشاركة الأصلية كتبت بواسطة IchiMohu مشاهدة المشاركة
Some of my AUD swings activated, here's the entries

GBPAUD - Short @ 1.9140 (activated today +80 pips), 1.917,1.9210
EURAUD - Short @ 1.6240 (activated yesterday +70 pips), 1.626 (activated yesterday +90 pips), 1.630


AUDUSD - Long @ 0.6840, 0.6820, 0.680
AUDCAD - Long @ 0.892 (activated yeterday +35 pips)

Charts and trade breakdown on the weekend

AUD pairs showed a retracement pattern, expecting a continuation
I will add more positions from the current price

GBPAUD - Short @ 1.8970
EURAUD - 1.6160
AUDCAD - 0.8985

no position would be added for AUDUSD
IchiMohu غير متواجد حالياً  
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الصورة الرمزية IchiMohu
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الصورة الرمزية IchiMohu
 
تاريخ التسجيل: Dec 2019
المشاركات: 103
معدل تقييم المستوى: 5
IchiMohu is on a distinguished road
افتراضي رد: Ichimoku Kinko Hyo
79#
16 - 01 - 2020, 09:53 PM
اقتباس:
المشاركة الأصلية كتبت بواسطة IchiMohu مشاهدة المشاركة
Short-term view for the USD pairs, more of a completion to the swings
canceled once the price reached TP
EURUSD
EUSUSD - Short order @ 1.1136, TP 1.106/1.105, SL above 1.1170

AUDUSD
AUDUSD - Long order @ 0.6888, TP 0.6913/0.6926, SL below 0.6870

AUDUSD - Short order @ 0.6925, TP 0.6900/0.687/0.684/0.6800, SL above 0.6980

NZDUSD
NZDUSD - Short @ 0.6655, TP 0.662/0.6580/0.6540, SL above 0.6690


USDJPY
USDJPY- Long order @ 109.12, TP 109.4/109.75/110.04, SL below 108.75





EURUSD update, I had my SL @ 1.1175 .. price missed my SL by 2 pips
despite that this setup still holding, the entry and synchronization could
have been a lot better
this trade still active for me and holding for my TP




AUDUSD update - intersting to see that the setup I made and cancled
came into play, I would say that minor bearish wave tricked me
price went back to my peding order and dropped
pending order hit 1st tp with +38 pips, active trade +11 pips
holding for my TP, active trade missed the SL by 1.3 pip



Active trade chart 1.3 pip




NZDUSD update, pending order activated and price started to drop +30 pips, active trade missed me SL by 2 pips still active at entry



active trade chart



USDJPY went immediate to Tp - order is cancled


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تاريخ التسجيل: Dec 2019
المشاركات: 103
معدل تقييم المستوى: 5
IchiMohu is on a distinguished road
افتراضي رد: Ichimoku Kinko Hyo
80#
16 - 01 - 2020, 10:28 PM
AUDNZD
Full bearish setup with correction/reversal sigs
supported by a possible H&S pattern

Long @ current price 1.0392, TP 1.0420/1.0450/1.0482, SL below 1.0355

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03:54 AM