رد: $$الفوركس ♥♥وساعة مع محمد ♥♥على ^_^نجوم بورصات وبس وبس^_^$$
EUR/USD Forecast Oct 29-Nov 2
German Inflation data:
Monday. German consumer prices remained unchanged over the previous month, in line with predictions, following a 0.4% increase in August. The lower reading in September reduced the annual headline inflation from 2.1% in August to 2.0% in September. A flat reading is expected now.
Mario Draghi speaks:
Tuesday, 8:00. Mario Draghi President of the ECB is scheduled to speak in Frankfurt at the Second Conference of the Macro-Prudential Research Network of the European System of Central Banks. He is likely to defended his bond-buying plan to ease the eurozone’s debt crisis. His speech can cause volatility in the market, especially if he clarifies his talk about the danger of deflation. Is a rate cut coming next week?
Spanish Flash GDP:
Tuesday, 8:00.Spain’ s economy slid further into recession in the second quarter contracting 0.4% following a 0.3% decline in the previous quarter, due to another round of austerity measured imposed by the government to deal with the growing budget crisis. Price hikes due to a 3-point rise in value-added tax lowered consumer spending even further in the last quarter. A drop of 0.4% is expected this time.
German Unemployment Change;
Tuesday, 8:55. German unemployment worsened for the sixth consecutive month in September with an addition of 9,000 people to the unemployment records, following the 11,000 increase in the preceding month. Weakening exports is the major cause for the deterioration inGermany’s labor market also lowering its growth prospects. Unemployment is expected to grow further in the next two months. A further increase of 10,000 job seekers is expected now.
Retail PMI:
Tuesday, 9:10. The Eurozone retail sector increased modestly to 47.1 from 44.4 in August, the highest reading since June, however on a yearly base, the Eurozone declined sharply in September leaving the retail sector in contraction.Germany is the only positive force among the three leading economies compared to the weakening in France and the sharp drops in Italy.
Eurogroup Conference Call:
Ministers of the euro-zone will speak about Greece and the ongoing negotiations between the EU / ECB / IMF troika and the debt struck country. Will decisions be made? We can assume that market moving statements will be made. In the meantime, the extreme right is gaining traction in Greece.
German Retail Sales:
Wednesday, 7:00. German retail sales increased 0.3% in August, lower than the 0.5% rise predicted, this modest grow bolstered hopes of escaping a further economic decline amid the global economic downturn. A rise of 0.6% is expected now.
French Consumer Spending:
Wednesday, 7:45. Consumer spending rose above predictions in July with a 0.4% climb, following an upwardly revised 0.4% increase in June. A rise of 0.2% is forecasted.
CPI Flash Estimate:
Wednesday, 10:00. Eurozone annual inflation is estimated to be 2.7% in September 2012, higher from 2.6% in August. The ECB target rate is below 2.0%.The main rises occurred in energy products, food, alcohol & tobacco as well as services. A rise of 2.5% is anticipated.
Unemployment Rate:
Wednesday, 10:00. The unemployment rate in the Eurozone reached 11.4% in August, following the same rate in June revised up from 11.3%, while the lowest rates were in Austria, Luxembourg, the Netherlands and Germany. No change is forecasted.
Spanish, Italian and the Eurozone Manufacturing PMI:
Friday, 8:15. Spanish Manufacturing PMI index increased to 44.5 in September following 44.0 in August. Despite the rise the reading indicates contraction. Meanwhile Italian manufacturing sector also improved to 45.7 following 43.6 in August, also suggesting a slowdown amid sharp price hikes spoiling companies’ efforts to promote sales. Italian PMI is expected to reach 45.9, while Eurozone at 45.3. The final manufacturing PMI will likely confirm the weak numbers reported in the initial release – a faster contraction, coming mainly form Germany.
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