Elliott Wave Analysis by EWF

NZDUSD Elliott Wave View: More downside

Short term Elliott Wave view in NZDUSD suggests the decline to 0.6844 low ended cycle from 3/21 high in Minor wave W. Pair is currently correcting cycle from 3/21 high in 3, 7, or 11 swing in Minor wave X before the decline resumes. The rally from 4/27 low (0.6844) looks to be unfolding as a double three Elliott Wave structure where Minute wave ((w)) is expected to complete soon as a Flat Elliott wave structure , then pair should pullback in Minute wave ((x)) to correct cycle from 4/27 low before turning higher again. We don’t like buying the proposed bounce and expect Minor wave X rally to find sellers in 3, 7 or 11 swing for more downside as far as pivot at 0.709 high remains intact.

NZDUSD 1 hour Elliott Wave Chart 05/02

NZD USD Incomplete Elliott Wave Sequence

NZD USD is showing 5 swings down from 2/6/2017 (0.7375) which means it’s an incomplete Elliott wave sequence and calls for another swing lower to complete 7 swings down from 2/6/2017 (0.7375) peak. First 3 swings completed on 3/9/2017 (0.6886) and bounce to 3/21/2017 (0.7091) was the 4th swing. Pair has since made a new low below 0.6886 which means we have started the next cycle lower with a target of 0.6739 – 0.6589 and ideally 0.6607 – 0.6492 area.



We can see 5 swings down from 2/6/2017 peak on this chart (please note these are 5 swings which is not the same as a 5 wave Impulse). As we explained above, 5 swings means the sequence is incomplete and makes the sequence bearish against 0.7091 high as indicated by the red invalidation line and the red arrow. Proposed 6th bounce should stay below 0.7091 high and pivot for the pair to continue lower in 7th swing. Ideally 6th swing should stay below the descending trend line as well which is currently at 0.7018.

NZDUSD Elliott Wave View: Correction in progress

Short term Elliott Wave view in NZDUSD suggests the decline to 0.6844 low ended cycle from 3/21 high in Minor wave W. Pair is currently correcting cycle from 3/21 high in 7 or 11 swing in Minor wave X before the decline resumes. The rally from 4/27 low (0.6844) is unfolding as a double three Elliott Wave structure where Minute wave ((w)) ended at 0.6937 as a Flat Elliott wave structure , and Minute wave ((x)) pullback ended at 0.69. Near term, pair is correcting cycle from 0.69 low within Minutte wave (b) and while dips stay above there, expect pair to resume higher towards 0.699 – 0.7014 area before the decline resumes. We expect Minor wave X rally to find sellers at 0.699 – 0.705 area for an extension lower or at least a 3 waves pullback as far as pivot at 0.709 high remains intact.

NZDUSD 1 hour Elliott Wave Chart 05/03/2017

USDCAD swings sequence calling the rally

Hello fellow traders. In this technical blog we’re going to take a quick look at the past Elliott Wave chart of USDCAD. In further text we’re going to explain the structure,count the swings and see how we foretasted the path.

USDCAD Elliott Wave 1 Hour Chart 04.27.2017

As our members know, we were pointing out that USDCAD is having incomplete bullish swings sequence from the 04/13 low . Structure has been calling for more strength in 7th swings once (x) blue pull back completes as Expanded flat. As far as short term pivot at 1.3406 low holds, the pair will be ideally targeting 1.3713 area. . At the chart below we can see that 6th swing is unfolding as expanded flat looking for 1.3526-1.34977 area to complete. Due to incomplete bullish sequences we recommended our members to avoid selling the pair, keep favoring the long side



USDCAD Elliott Wave 1 Hour Chart 05.02.2017

Eventually the pair has reached propose 50 fibs area at 1.35267 and completed (x) blue there as irregular flat structure. We got nice reaction higher. Currently approaching ideal target area at 1.3715-1.3788 and it’s already close to ending the cycle from the 04/13 low . Current price structure met minimum requirements already, and we should be careful chasing the strengths at this stage.



Keep in mind market is very dynamic and the view could have changed in a meant time.

NZDUSD Elliott Wave View: Correction Ended

Revised Elliott Wave view in NZDUSD suggests the decline from 3/21 high (0.709) is unfolding as a triple three Elliott Wave structure where Minute wave ((w)) ended at 0.6905, Minute wave ((x)) ended at 0.7053, Minute wave () ended at 0.6844 and Minute second wave ((x)) is proposed complete at 0.6968. Minute wave ((z)) is in progress and unfolding as a double three Elliott Wave structure where Minutte wave (w) is expected to complete at 0.6815 – 0.6846 area, then it should bounce in Minutte wave (x) to correct cycle from 5/2 high before pair resumes lower again. We don’t like buying the pair and expect bounces in Minutte wave (x) to find sellers in 3, 7, or 11 swing provided that pivot at 0.6968 high remains intact.

NZDUSD 1 Hour Elliott Wave Chart 05/04/2017

NZDUSD Elliott Wave View: Extended Correction

Revised Elliott Wave view in NZDUSD suggests the decline from 3/21 high (0.709) is unfolding as a leading diagonal Elliott Wave structure where Minute wave ((i)) ended at 0.6905, Minute wave ((ii)) ended at 0.7053, Minute wave ((iii)) ended at 0.6844, Minute wave ((iv)) ended at 0.6968. and Minute wave ((v)) of A ended at 0.6835. Pair is bouncing within Minor wave B to correct cycle from 3/21 high before the decline resumes. We don’t like buying the proposed bounce and expect sellers to appear once wave X bounce is complete in 3, 7, or 11 swing provided that pivot at 3/21 high (0.709) remains intact.

NZDUSD 1 Hour Elliott Wave Chart

SPX Elliott Wave View: Ending diagonal

Short Term Elliott Wave view in SPX suggests the rally from 3/27 low (2322.2) is unfolding as a leading diagonal Elliott Wave structure where Minute wave ((i)) ended at 2378.36, Minute wave ((ii)) ended at 2328.95, Minute wave ((iii)) ended at 2398.16, and Minute wave ((iv)) ended at 2379.75. The Index has broken above previous Minute wave ((iii)) and thus it has met the minimum requirement in the number of swing to end cycle from 3/27 low as a diagonal. However, while near term pullbacks stay bove 2379, further upside still can’t be ruled out before cycle from 3/27 low ends. Near term focus is on 2403 – 2406 area to complete Minutte wave (a), then Index should pullback in Minutte wave (b) in 3, 7, or 11 swing to correct cycle from 5/3 low before Index resumes higher. We don’t like selling the Index.

SPX 1 Hour Elliott Wave Chart 05/09/2017